Almanac, 03/31/07, Vol. 17, No. 4
ثبت نشده
چکیده
Klein of the Wharton School's Econometric Forecasting Associates expect GNP to increase about 7 per cent a year in current dollars, while the price level creeps up at only a noninflating 2.5 to 3 per cent a year. The unemployment rate, now close to the 6 per cent mark, should drop to 4.5 per cent by 1973 and stay close to that for the rest of the decade. "In human terms, this holds the promise of a decade of peace and welfare-human benefits for almost everybody," Preston said. "Personal disposable income will almost double, total profits will rise, the hours we work will decline, and federal, state and local budgets will have several years when they are balanced. In fact, we see a slight surplus for the federal budget from 1977 through 1980." To project these figures for the decade, the Wharton economists developed a completely new computerized model of the economy, based on the techniques and the experience gained from the well known model on which they make their quarterly forecasts. The new Annual and Industry Model contains more detailed data and traces the development of all major U.S. industries through a 50 sector input-output table.
منابع مشابه
Sparsity with Sign-coherent Groups of Variables via the Cooperative-lasso by Julien Chiquet,
2012, Vol. 0, No. 00, 1–36 DOI: 10.1214/11-AOAS520 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2012 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 41 41 42 42 43 43 SPARSITY WITH SIGN-COHERENT GROUPS OF VARIABLES VIA THE COOPE...
متن کاملDepth Weighted Scatter Estimators
The Annals of Statistics 0, Vol. 0, No. 0, 1–33 DOI 10.1214/009053604000000922 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 41 41 42 42 43 43 DEPTH WEIGHTED SCATTER ESTIMATORS BY...
متن کاملError Distributions for Random Grid Approximations of Multidimensional Stochastic Integrals1 by Carl Lindberg
0, Vol. 0, No. 00, 1–24 DOI: 10.1214/12-AAP858 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 41 41 42 42 43 43 ERROR DISTRIBUTIONS FOR RANDOM GRID APPROXIMATIONS OF MULTIDIMENSION...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2007